Steorn's Cryptic Reality
If you’ve followed this blog from the start (all that time ago - lol) my shift in position is obvious. I wanted to get away from the circular arguments relating to Steorn’s technology and steer a more positive and optimistic course into the future. While this is still what I want to do, I would be sticking my head in the sand if I ignored the events of the past week on my ability to suspend disbelief. I am willing to do so again but the barrier is higher. Thus, I will try to look at things dispassionately. I cannot give confidential details of what goes on inside the SPDC but, where I can, I hope my confidence, or otherwise, will be reflected here and give you an indication of how likely this thing is to be a terrible joke played upon a needy world. That can only happen if I am even handed and demonstrate my honesty to you. With so many unknowns, I expect my speculations to be wrong as often as right, but they will always be sincere and when I know I’m wrong, I’ll say so.
To set this in context, the following is a snapshot of my confidence levels through the Steorn belief-landscape:
August 2006 – Economist Ad – Amused Cynicism
September – After a few weeks on the forum – Sceptic
October – Fraud argument sounds weak – Puzzled Sceptic
December – Post-Crank’s visit and the
Note that, this is not too far from Dr Mike’s position. We both believed that Sean believes. I chose to go along with him despite understanding the odds. Dr Mike did not. I fully appreciate that Dr Mike’s stance is the safest bet.
On joining the SPDC, there was a single revelation that reinforced my belief that the technology was real (but not the scientific conclusions). That has not changed, but since the failed demo, it is no longer enough. It is not that I don’t trust Sean; I no longer trust my own ability to read him.
I am now sceptical again, but it would take so little and be extremely easy for Steorn to push the fence over. They were going to show the Orbo to the world. There is now no need for the secrecy that shrouded every move they made in the past. They cannot reveal everything until they are ready, but all they need to do is to follow through on their word and be less cryptic (a euphemism for lying?). It has only been a week since the disastrous failure and, after ten months, I can wait a little longer. Steorn cannot afford to compound its error (if that’s what it was) by rushing some half-baked Blair-like response into the public arena, but the simplicity of the solution stares us all in the face and I see no reason for another long-drawn promise that will likely die from lack of interest as people, including me, drift away.
I look forward to turning this blog back on its original course. I look forward to expressing my admiration for the route they have pioneered, their humanitarian stance, and their determination to change the world. I look forward to supporting the most important project of the century, but only if it exists beyond the collective imagination of everyone involved.
3 Comments:
Very well written Paul, you are obviously a descent person but you too have become deluded in an attempt to save face. My stance on this from the start has consistently been the same. It was, I believed, a measurment error or delusion thinking. However, it was so significant that I was willing to leave a little gap in my increduility to be convinced. That gap was slammed shut last week. I did not believe they would produce and demo and when they failed on the firs day I said they would pack up and go home with some lame excuse. I was proved right and others wrong.
Mr.Mcarthy is a fantasist - but an obviously intelligent one - he found some anomaly, he extrapolated his thinking forward and surmised that some machine could be built from it. We have all done this to a small degree at work, but has not been able to produce the machine. But what he has been able to do, is engage a professional PR machine. Set up forums, arrange for the product to be licenced, suppodedly get 22 top experts from around the world to validate it etc..etc..
But concerning the actual machine well no one has seen such a machine except him and possibly another person, the investors have not seen, the Jury has not seen it, nobody you or I know of has seen it. Yet he is already arranging for deployment!! I heard him interviewed on Irish Radio a couple of days ago and the version of story he gives alters ever so slightly....I listened to his speech after the demo speech as well. And when you compare there are clear hints and minor clues that the penny has dropped with him. The brashness and confidence is now gone and he is defensive. Just suble changes, but I noticed them. He is in a tough position now - the investors will no doubt be trying to get what money is left back out of Steorn, if he is wrong, by his own admission, he is finished professionally. So this guys job, home and future are all on the line - he is currently earning 200K a year from what I hear. So he is going to keep trying to pefect a theory that is imperfect. Of course when you think about it really - its all stupid isnt it...I mean really...a machine that produces energy from nowhere, a wheel that would spin forever with no source of energy...it is nice to entertain the idea. I honestly belive this is going to end tragically for all involved in Steron. Lost jobs, lost hope, lost money. In the end that is reality, it is OK for us to sit on the sideline and boo or cheer. But there real people involved in this fantasy trip and they have morgages and profesional reputations. Mr. McCarthy should do the descent thing and call a halt to whole fiasco.
I really don't know what everyone's complaining about. The demonstration in London was successful beyond Steorn's wildest dreams.
It succeeded because it so spectacularly failed.
Why do people have such a hard time understanding that?
Sean McCarthy has set the skeptics up perfectly with his Irish version of "rope-a-dope" and all the dopes are falling for it.
Who was it that said that the London demonstration was not intended to 'succeed', as such, because afterwards, no matter what happened in the demo, the skeptics would howl, "Fake! There's some trickery involved!"
The only thing Sean really accomplished was making the skeptics' job all that much easier. But the end result, a stable of snide skeptics, was masterfully achieved through the spectacularly successful failure in London last week.
Certainty comes only with a jury verdict. Period. Full stop.
It's becoming more clear, Sean must have a 'Rocky' fixation, as some have said.
Dr. A Soél
Dr. A the strategy of wearing one's opponent down by letting them beat one silly only seems to work in Jean Claude Van Damme movies. No jury is or ever were going to declare that Steorn have a magic perpetual motion machine for the simple reason they don't have one and never did. The only dopes who got roped are those who declared their admiration for the emperor's nonexistent duds.
The Steorn Sociology Study is nearing its term.
PS are you friends with Francis Urquhart?
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